"NEW SUNSPOT: Sunspot 1024 is growing rapidly and crackling with B-class solar flares. The magnetic polarity of the sunspot identifies it as a member of new Solar Cycle 24. Readers with solar telescopes should train their optics on the sun's southern hemisphere to witness sunspot genesis in action."
" SUNSPOT ALERT: The most active sunspot of the year so far is emerging in the sun's southern hemisphere: movie. Sunspot 1024 has at least a dozen individual dark cores and it is crackling with B-class solar flares. This morning, amateur astronomer David Tyler caught one of the flares in action from his backyard solar observatory in England:
The magnetic polarity of sunspot 1024 identifies it as a member of new Solar Cycle 24. Its rapid emergence on July 3rd and 4th continues the recent (few-month) trend of intensifying new-cycle activity. This sunspot is the best offering yet from the young solar cycle. Monitoring is encouraged."
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2009 Jul 04 2201 UTC
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 185 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jul 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 1024 (S27E02)
emerged early in the period and produced numerous B-class events
during the past 24 hours. The largest of these was a B8 at 0437Z.
The group grew rapidly and is currently a D type sunspot region with
an area of about 140 millionths. The magnetic analysis showed a beta
group with a single, East-West oriented polarity inversion line. The
frequency and intensity of flare activity from the region appeared
to be decreasing slightly during the last four hours of the period.
The remainder of the solar disk was quiet and stable.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly very low, but there is a chance for an isolated
C-class flare during the next three days (5-7 July) from Region
1024, especially if it continues to grow.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (5-7 July).
III. Event Probabilities 05 Jul-07 Jul
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Jul 071
Predicted 05 Jul-07 Jul 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 04 Jul 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jul 003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jul 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jul-07 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jul-07 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
I have a question. Do you think that strange planet/object heading toward the sun has something to do with the sudden new sunspots? And do you think it has time to become large enough to affect us like the crop circle predicts (July 7th)? Unless small is more powerful? I'm not very knowledgeable when it comes to this. ^^
"SUDDEN SUPER SUNSPOT: Sunspot 1024 is crackling with B- and C-class solar flares. The activity is so intense, astronomers can't seem to take a picture of the sunspot without catching a flare in action. Pete Lawrence sends this example from his backyard observatory in Selsey, UK:
"Active region 1024 is putting on a fantastic show," says Lawrence. "The center of this region is incredibly bright and fluctuating."
Solar observers haven't seen an active region like this one in more than two years. It is big, complex, and rapidly growing: movie. The magnetic polarity of the sunspot, revealed by SOHO magnetograms, show that it is a member of new Solar Cycle 24. This makes sense: New research shows that solar jet streams are beginning to stimulate new-cycle sunspot production. Sunspot 1024 appears to be a sign of the process at work, heralding more to come. Monitoring is encouraged."